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Big Indices Shine, Smallcaps and Midcaps Bounce Back Strong!

The week began with Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty showing resilience, while Smallcaps and Midcaps faced early selling pressure. However, smallcaps and midcaps rebounded by week's end, signaling a strong recovery.
Gold and silver captured investor interest, gaining momentum throughout the week. India VIX fell by over 17%, reflecting a notable decrease in market volatility. Investor sentiment remained cautious, with the upcoming FOMC meeting and prospects of a potential rate cut keeping the market on alert. Despite early weakness, the overall market wrapped up the week on a positive note, reflecting renewed confidence across broader indices.
The Nifty 50 ended the week 2.03% higher at 25,356. Nifty Consumer Durables and Nifty FMCG surged the most with gains of 3.73%, and 2.99% respectively.
Scroll down to understand more of such market news and perspectives for the week gone by in easily understandable charts.
Don’t miss our new insights on seasonality. It is the tendency for stocks to perform better during some periods of the year. Here we have presented stocks that have shown positive or negative performance consistently during the next few days each time in the last 10 years. The bars represent the percentage gains from the date mentioned on their respective chart.

Seasonality

Bajaj Holdings has consistently delivered positive returns across various periods, reflecting its strong market performance. The stock has shown resilience and steady growth, maintaining investor confidence.

Bajaj Holdings has consistently delivered positive returns across various periods, reflecting its strong market performance. The stock has shown resilience and steady growth, maintaining investor confidence.
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Ambuja Cements has shown negative returns in 8 out of 10 periods, reflecting difficulties in achieving steady performance and overcoming market fluctuations.

Ambuja Cements has shown negative returns in 8 out of 10 periods, reflecting difficulties in achieving steady performance and overcoming market fluctuations.
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MFSL has experienced negative returns in 8 out of 10 periods, indicating persistent challenges in maintaining consistent growth and market stability.

MFSL has experienced negative returns in 8 out of 10 periods, indicating persistent challenges in maintaining consistent growth and market stability.
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Triveni Engineering has consistently delivered positive returns across multiple periods, demonstrating strong market performance and reliable growth. The company’s ability to maintain steady results highlights its resilience and operational strength

Triveni Engineering has consistently delivered positive returns across multiple periods, demonstrating strong market performance and reliable growth. The company’s ability to maintain steady results highlights its resilience and operational strength
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Adani Ports has exhibited negative returns across multiple periods, struggling to maintain consistent growth. This recurring underperformance suggests ongoing challenges in sustaining upward momentum.

Adani Ports has exhibited negative returns across multiple periods, struggling to maintain consistent growth. This recurring underperformance suggests ongoing challenges in sustaining upward momentum.
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Bharti Airtel has shown a pattern of negative returns in many periods, indicating instability in its market performance. These recurring setbacks raise concerns about the stock\'s ability to achieve sustained growth.

Bharti Airtel has shown a pattern of negative returns in many periods, indicating instability in its market performance. These recurring setbacks raise concerns about the stock\'s ability to achieve sustained growth.
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Jubilant FoodWorks has faced negative returns in several key periods, reflecting difficulties in achieving stable growth. The stock has shown vulnerability to market fluctuations, affecting its overall performance.

Jubilant FoodWorks has faced negative returns in several key periods, reflecting difficulties in achieving stable growth. The stock has shown vulnerability to market fluctuations, affecting its overall performance.
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REC Ltd has encountered negative returns across numerous periods, highlighting issues with maintaining positive results. The stock\'s performance has been inconsistent, with significant challenges in delivering steady growth.

REC Ltd has encountered negative returns across numerous periods, highlighting issues with maintaining positive results. The stock\'s performance has been inconsistent, with significant challenges in delivering steady growth.
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Asian Paints has encountered negative returns in several periods, reflecting challenges in sustaining consistent growth. The stock has struggled to maintain upward momentum, facing recurring dips in performance.

Asian Paints has encountered negative returns in several periods, reflecting challenges in sustaining consistent growth. The stock has struggled to maintain upward momentum, facing recurring dips in performance.
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Berger Paints has shown a pattern of negative returns across key periods, highlighting difficulties in achieving steady growth. Its performance has been inconsistent, with market conditions often impacting its results.

Berger Paints has shown a pattern of negative returns across key periods, highlighting difficulties in achieving steady growth. Its performance has been inconsistent, with market conditions often impacting its results.
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India Cements has exhibited negative returns in various periods, struggling to generate sustained positive results. Fluctuations in performance have been a recurring theme, with growth challenges persisting.

India Cements has exhibited negative returns in various periods, struggling to generate sustained positive results. Fluctuations in performance have been a recurring theme, with growth challenges persisting.
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Piramal Enterprises has faced negative returns across several periods, indicating difficulties in maintaining steady performance. The stock has seen periodic declines, reflecting challenges in its market positioning.

Piramal Enterprises has faced negative returns across several periods, indicating difficulties in maintaining steady performance. The stock has seen periodic declines, reflecting challenges in its market positioning.
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Tata Consumer has recorded negative returns in multiple periods, showing inconsistency in its growth pattern. The stock has struggled to maintain momentum, with returns often failing to meet expectations.

Tata Consumer has recorded negative returns in multiple periods, showing inconsistency in its growth pattern. The stock has struggled to maintain momentum, with returns often failing to meet expectations.
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CGCL has demonstrated a solid track record of positive returns in multiple periods, highlighting its reliable performance. The company\'s consistent growth showcases its stability and market strength.

CGCL has demonstrated a solid track record of positive returns in multiple periods, highlighting its reliable performance. The company\'s consistent growth showcases its stability and market strength.
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Stocks

The attached chart showcases the largest single-day market capitalization declines for Indian companies since January 01, 2020. Notably, Reliance Industries dominates the list with the top four positions.

The attached chart showcases the largest single-day market capitalization declines for Indian companies since January 01, 2020. Notably, Reliance Industries dominates the list with the top four positions.
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New orders continue to fuel the share price growth, here’s highlights of order wins for three companies:

New orders continue to fuel the share price growth, here’s highlights of order wins for three companies:
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The chart explains how recent order received by infra developers drive their share price.

The chart explains how recent order received by infra developers drive their share price.
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The attached list shows companies with a market cap above Rs 2,000 cr that hold cash more than 25% of their market cap.

The attached list shows companies with a market cap above Rs 2,000 cr that hold cash more than 25% of their market cap.
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The chart displays the rising trend in Toll collection by IRB infrastructure.

The chart displays the rising trend in Toll collection by IRB infrastructure.
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The chart displays the financial performance of Interarch Building Products for Q1FY25.

The chart displays the financial performance of Interarch Building Products for Q1FY25.
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A substantial dip in the sales volume hits Force Motors’ share price of over 5%, here’s a glimpse of monthly domestic and export sales breakup:

A substantial dip in the sales volume hits Force Motors’ share price of over 5%, here’s a glimpse of monthly domestic and export sales breakup:
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Here’s the ROA trend of the top 4 private sector banks for the past 10 financial years

Here’s the ROA trend of the top 4 private sector banks for the past 10 financial years
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Here are the Nifty Smallcap 100 companies trading at prices more than 30% above their simple moving average.

Here are the Nifty Smallcap 100 companies trading at prices more than 30% above their simple moving average.
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The below chart presents the operating profit margins comparison with its 5 & 10-year average operating profit margins.

The below chart presents the operating profit margins comparison with its 5 & 10-year average operating profit margins.
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The chart displays the stocks that witnessed a rise in sales and PAT on a yearly and sequential basis yet are trading below their 5 5-year median PE.

The chart displays the stocks that witnessed a rise in sales and PAT on a yearly and sequential basis yet are trading below their 5 5-year median PE.
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The chart displays the Nifty 500 stocks which have the dividend record date scheduled next week.

The chart displays the Nifty 500 stocks which have the dividend record date scheduled next week.
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Indices

The Nifty Smallcap 100 Index has recorded seven instances where it remained above the 200-day moving average for more than 200 days. Historically, the index has delivered an average return of 95% during streaks exceeding 300 days.

The Nifty Smallcap 100 Index has recorded seven instances where it remained above the 200-day moving average for more than 200 days. Historically, the index has delivered an average return of 95% during streaks exceeding 300 days.
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Here’s how S&P 500 index performed post FED rate cut in 2007!

Here’s how S&P 500 index performed post FED rate cut in 2007!
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Presented below weekly return of sectoral indices for this week:

Presented below weekly return of sectoral indices for this week:
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Presented below weekly return of strategy indices for this week:

Presented below weekly return of strategy indices for this week:
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Economy

Due to the fall in crude oil prices, the oil exploration companies and oil refinery companies are showing divergence in the chart.

Due to the fall in crude oil prices, the oil exploration companies and oil refinery companies are showing divergence in the chart.
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Explained below how the fall in oil price to a record low level impacted the companies depending on the commodity:

Explained below how the fall in oil price to a record low level impacted the companies depending on the commodity:
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The accompanying chart presents the Index of Industrial Production Data for the month of Jul-24.

The accompanying chart presents the Index of Industrial Production Data for the month of Jul-24.
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Retail and Food Inflation trends in India are presented below, CPI within the target for the straight second month:

Retail and Food Inflation trends in India are presented below, CPI within the target for the straight second month:
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Government proposes new schemes to encourage electrification, key points of schemes are presented below:

Government proposes new schemes to encourage electrification, key points of schemes are presented below:
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Fund Flows

The chart below displays sectors that witnessed the highest and lowest change in the weightage of sectoral FPI holdings to the total FPI holdings compared to the previous fortnight.

The chart below displays sectors that witnessed the highest and lowest change in the weightage of sectoral FPI holdings to the total FPI holdings compared to the previous fortnight.
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Here is where the investors’ money routed across the funds:

Here is where the investors’ money routed across the funds:
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The charts below show a consistent rise in SIP flows and SIP accounts, indicating that retail investors see an attractive opportunity in the equity market:

The charts below show a consistent rise in SIP flows and SIP accounts, indicating that retail investors see an attractive opportunity in the equity market:
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Opportunities

Glenmark Pharma Holds Steady at Highs, Poised for a Breakout after Consolidation

Glenmark Pharma Holds Steady at Highs, Poised for a Breakout after Consolidation
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Zaggle Rallies to 52-Week High on Cup & Handle Breakout, Driving Bullish Optimism

Zaggle Rallies to 52-Week High on Cup & Handle Breakout, Driving Bullish Optimism
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Food for thought

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