Nifty 50: Measured Recovery After Sell-Off
Nifty closed at 25,571.25 (+0.46%), forming a small bullish candle following the prior session’s sharp decline. The rebound appears measured rather than impulsive, suggesting selective accumulation rather than aggressive buying.
Technical Structure
- Below 10/20/50 EMAs: Reflects short-term pressure after the recent breakdown.
- Above 200-day SMA: Provides broader structural support.
- RSI near 48: Momentum remains neutral-to-slightly weak but is attempting to stabilise.
- Fibonacci Mid-Range Defense: Price is defending the 50% retracement area, though follow-through remains limited.
Weekly Perspective
Despite mid-week volatility, the index closed the week up 0.39%, indicating underlying resilience. However, for a stronger directional move higher, Nifty must reclaim the cluster of short-term moving averages. Until then, the recovery remains tentative.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: 25,800–26,000 (EMA cluster zone)
- Support: 25,300–25,200 (near-term)
- Structural Support: 200-day SMA
Nifty Bank: Leadership Intact
Nifty Bank closed at 61,172.00 (+0.71%), forming a small bullish candle after the previous sharp decline. While the candle size is modest, it reflects steady participation in the recovery.
Technical Highlights
- Above all key moving averages: Broader uptrend remains intact.
- Upward-sloping averages: Trend alignment continues to favour bulls.
- Near upper Donchian Channel band: Indicates proximity to potential breakout territory.
- RSI near 59 and rising: Momentum remains constructive despite recent volatility.
Weekly View
The index gained 1.64% on the week, continuing to outperform the broader market.
Support Zone: 60,500–60,600
As long as price sustains above this band and holds near the upper Donchian boundary, dips are likely to attract buying interest.
Overall Market Takeaway
- Nifty 50: Stabilising but still technically repairing short-term damage.
- Nifty Bank: Trend leader, structurally stronger, and closer to potential breakout levels.
The divergence suggests sectoral leadership remains with financials, while the broader index works through consolidation.
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