NIFTY Bank: Support Intact, Resistance Firm — Directional Trigger Awaited

NIFTY Bank: Support Intact, Resistance Firm — Directional Trigger Awaited

Market Recap: Strong Recovery, Range Persists

Nifty Bank staged a sharp rebound, recovering nearly 50% of the previous session’s losses as buyers emerged near rising short-term averages. The index settled 432.45 points higher at 61,172.00, closing the week on a constructive note.

Despite the recovery, price action remains confined within a broader consolidation band, awaiting a decisive breakout for directional confirmation.

Technical Setup: Structure Stable but Capped

  • Above 10 & 20-day EMAs: (60,400–60,500 zone) — near-term support intact.
  • Immediate Crucial Support: 60,380–60,500 cluster.
  • Stiff Resistance: 61,400–61,700 — aligned with prior all-time high supply.
  • RSI Near 60: Reflects constructive momentum, but breakout confirmation required.

The broader uptrend remains structurally healthy as long as the index sustains above the 60,500 support band.

Derivatives Snapshot: Neutral-to-Positive Bias

Options data suggests balanced positioning:

  • 61,500 Call OI: 7.62 lakh contracts — key resistance zone.
  • 60,500 Put OI: 9.21 lakh contracts — strong support base.
  • PCR at 0.98: Indicates positive-to-neutral sentiment.

Call writing near resistance continues to cap upside unless a strong breakout triggers short covering.

Key Levels to Watch

Level

Implication

61,700

Breakout trigger for renewed bullish momentum

61,400–61,700

Resistance supply zone

60,500

Immediate support

60,000

Downside target on breakdown

Strategy & Outlook

The tactical stance remains neutral within the 60,500–61,700 range.

  • Below 60,500: Risk of decline toward 60,000.
  • Above 61,700: Fresh upside momentum likely with potential expansion move.

Until either boundary is decisively breached, expect consolidation with stock-specific action dominating the banking space.

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