Market Performance
Shares of major oil marketing companies (OMCs) and oil & gas giants soared on June 11, driven by declining crude oil prices. The Nifty Oil & Gas index surged 1.7% in early trade, reflecting strong investor optimism.
Key gainers included:
- HPCL – Up 4% at ₹421
- BPCL – Up 4% at ₹332
- IOC – Gained 2.5% to ₹146
- Reliance Industries – Jumped 1.6%, hitting an 8-month high at ₹1,461
- ONGC – Top Nifty gainer, rising 2%
Why Are Oil & Gas Stocks Rising?
1. Falling Crude Oil Prices
- Brent Crude dipped 0.3% to $66.68/barrel
- US WTI Crude fell 0.3% to $64.82/barrel
- The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts further declines:
- Brent to average $61 in 2025 (down from $64 in May)
- $59/barrel expected in 2026
2. OPEC+ Production Increase
- OPEC+ plans to gradually ease supply concerns by raising output.
- This benefits Indian refiners by improving gross marketing margins on retail fuel.
3. US-China Trade Talks Impact
- Assessing the outcome of recent US-China trade discussions.
- Weak Chinese demand and lower OPEC+ production continue to pressure oil prices.
Key Company Updates
Reliance Industries
- Shares hit an 8-month high at ₹1,461.
- The top gainer on Sensex contributed significantly to the index's rise.
HPCL, BPCL, and IOC
- HPCL & BPCL led gains with 4% jumps.
- IOC rose 2.5%, benefiting from improved refining margins.
ONGC & Oil India
- ONGC was the top Nifty gainer, up 2%.
- Oil India surged 3% to ₹449 despite declines in the crude price.
Summary
Falling crude oil prices and positive OPEC+ supply adjustments have fueled a rally in oil & gas stocks. Reliance Industries, HPCL, BPCL, and IOC emerged as top performers, with the Nifty Oil & Gas index climbing 1.7%. Investors remain optimistic as global oil inventories rise, potentially keeping prices subdued in the near term.
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